Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 94.226515 104.808586 115.557815 127.263776 139.622699 152.255099 166.114833
2025-08-17 76.324218 91.533133 107.610565 125.749583 145.528497 166.334604 189.770673
2025-08-24 66.353943 84.223577 103.674454 126.169552 151.235029 178.096369 208.854478
2025-08-31 57.611723 77.185245 99.078599 124.966005 154.357726 186.352289 223.487516
2025-09-07 52.078665 73.179415 97.343039 126.449334 160.003733 196.986880 240.367472
2025-09-14 47.660419 70.037633 96.224951 128.296347 165.765258 207.505787 256.904586
2025-09-21 42.414783 65.443041 93.024236 127.389195 168.084700 213.904381 268.607330
2025-09-28 37.055962 60.279300 88.787859 124.944192 168.348797 217.735699 277.202954
2025-10-05 35.502747 59.859264 90.253227 129.246986 176.465735 230.548242 296.015125
2025-10-12 33.365586 58.491728 90.402000 131.838538 182.467234 240.847695 311.897055
2025-10-19 30.055985 55.299518 88.053122 131.200467 184.475454 246.387863 322.199210
2025-10-26 27.071732 52.334975 85.826653 130.570692 186.376484 251.710595 332.173510
2025-11-02 24.826049 50.295239 84.741201 131.349807 190.005100 259.122846 344.673790
2025-11-09 22.185113 47.479890 82.483581 130.526497 191.586700 264.048352 354.224578
2025-11-16 20.180467 45.459579 81.182800 130.839589 194.499182 270.509052 365.541085
2025-11-23 17.860190 42.754197 78.799909 129.629157 195.421480 274.507691 373.887577
2025-11-30 16.577995 41.606149 78.523984 131.140934 199.728012 282.575874 387.061890
2025-12-07 15.506174 40.718053 78.560500 133.027352 204.481537 291.172332 400.862006
2025-12-14 13.740401 38.493689 76.564829 132.101036 205.589030 295.271363 409.237989
2025-12-21 11.733944 35.634400 73.495891 129.604313 204.592630 296.720355 414.369415
2025-12-28 11.574147 36.140073 75.445530 133.997862 212.506894 309.168942 432.802969
2026-01-04 11.011020 35.836506 76.143671 136.643455 218.143753 318.800268 447.833205
2026-01-11 9.747491 34.059103 74.513724 135.992121 219.440874 323.019365 456.277046